Model portfolios

Model portfolios: equities, bonds and gold combined

Compare classic portfolios — 100% equities, 80/20, 60/40 and diversified with gold — using an orientative long-term average return for each asset class.

How to read these numbers

These returns are orientative long-term averages per asset class (the same ones we already use fund by fund elsewhere on the site), not a real year-by-year historical sequence like in /cuanto-tendrias: we assume each portfolio grows every single year at exactly its weighted average return, without the market's real ups and downs. It's useful for comparing the effect of diversifying across asset classes, not as a prediction or a backtest.

0 €
300 €
20 yr

The classic 60% equities and 40% bonds. A balance between growth and stability.

Weighted average return5.80%
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Result at 20 years

Final value

€136,029

Contributed

€72,000

Interest generated

€64,029

Evolution of the selected portfolio

Comparing all 4 portfolios

Contributed vs. interest generated at 20 years, for each portfolio.

Orientative long-term average return per asset class

Global equities (MSCI World)8%
US equities (S&P 500)10%
Global bonds (Bloomberg Global Aggregate)2.5%
Physical gold5%

Frequently asked questions

Are these returns a prediction?+

No. They're widely used long-term averages for each asset class, applied constantly every single year. Real markets never go up a fixed percentage every year: some years go up a lot, others go down. To see the real effect of that year-to-year variability, use /cuanto-tendrias, which does simulate a real historical sequence.

Why does adding bonds or gold lower the expected return?+

Historically, bonds and gold have had a lower average return than equities, but they also behave differently during stock-market drops: combining them lowers the expected average return in exchange for (in principle) less volatility. This tool does not measure volatility, only the outcome with a constant average return.

What's the best model portfolio?+

It depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance — there's no universal answer. The further away your goal, the more room you have to ride out equity volatility; the closer it gets, the more sense it can make to add bonds or gold to cushion drops.

Educational, illustrative simulation with a constant average return per asset class, not a backtest with real year-by-year historical data. Past returns do not guarantee future returns. Not financial advice.

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