iShares STOXX Global Select Dividend 100 vs SPDR S&P US Dividend Aristocrats

They track different indices: iShares STOXX Global Select Dividend 100 follows STOXX Global Select Dividend 100 and SPDR S&P US Dividend Aristocrats follows S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats. They also differ in cost (0.46% vs 0.35% TER), replication (physical vs physical) and domicile (Alemania vs Irlanda).

Nobody can know that: they track different indices, so their returns will diverge, and past index performance is not a prediction. What you can control today is the cost, the tax structure and whether the index actually covers what you want exposure to.

SPDR S&P US Dividend Aristocrats has the lower annual fee. Applying the same 7% gross return to both with €300/month, that fee gap alone is worth about €1,993 after 20 years — that part is arithmetic, not a forecast.

Both are distributing, so on this point there is no difference between them.

Yes. Unlike two funds tracking the identical index, these give you genuinely different exposure, so holding both is not automatically redundant — just be aware you may end up overlapping on the largest companies and doubling your rebalancing work.